November 14, 2009

In Case You Missed It

Missouri Valley

Indiana State 88
Nebraska Kearney 58

Local story (Tribstar.com)
Statistics (.pdf, University website)

Northern Iowa 71
Nebraska Kearney 65

Local story (WCFcourier.com)
Statistics (University website)

National

The first big upset, as Rider wins at No. 18 Mississippi State, 88-74.

BYU's coach gets an contract extension.

Considering his track record and how the Cougars looked against Bradley tonight, it appears well-deserved.

Northwestern star forward Kevin Coble may need surgery.

Arkansas goes crazy, including an incredible shooting performance by Rotnei Clarke.

SI.com writer Michael Rosenberg writes an interesting article about players being "forced" to attend college.

November 13, 2009

BYU holds off determined Braves in season opener

BradleyBYU

60

70

Normally double-digit losses leave fans angry, disappointed and frustrated. But as BYU (1-0) left the court with a 70-60 victory, the road team had to feel pretty encouraged about the upcoming season.

Consider the circumstances: Bradley (0-1) had to open up the season against a team that has only lost three home games in the past four seasons. BYU was picked to win the Mountain West Conference and some think the team could win a few games in the NCAA tournament as well. Then starting forward Taylor Brown was listed as ineligible ▬ this could have been a blowout.

The Braves couldn't shoot in the first half (6-of-22, 27.3 percent) and only trailed 32-25 at the break. After a timeout, head coach Jim Les ran one of his familiar alley-oop plays for senior guard Chris Roberts. The slam tied the game at 39-39 with 14:48 left.

The Cougars responded with a 15-6 run that was the defining moment of the game. The 5 1/2 minute stretch included two Bradley turnovers, a missed free throw (the team only hit 4-of-10 in the second half) and huge momentum swing.

Les' teams always seem to have one last push in them and in this game, that allowed Bradley to keep the game within 7-8 points for most of the remaining half. Other teams may have folded after that run but credit Bradley for hanging in there against a very good team.

The combination of BYU's star players, forward Jimmer Fredette and forward Jonathan Tavernari, were too much for Bradley to handle. Fredette made 12-of-14 free throw attempts and scored a game high 25 points. Tavernari didn't have his best shooting game, but still hit three 3-pointers and finished with 13.

Though not as dynamic, Bradley's top trio also had a pretty good game. Roberts had a team-high 16 points, but still showed why he can be such a frustrating player. The good certainly outweighed the bad, as he had five rebounds, two steals, a block and that big dunk. But, at a critical stretch in the game where Bradley trailed by 5-7 points, Roberts missed three opportunities at the free-throw line.

Junior guard Sam Maniscalco had 15 points, hitting 3-of-5 attempts from behind the 3-point line and all six of his free throws. Fellow junior guard Andrew Warren, who played in his first regular season game since sitting out all of 2008-09 with a foot injury, also finished in double figures with 13. Warren was clearly a bit rusty, but the potential is obviously still there for a big comeback season.

From a team stats perspective, these teams played very evenly. Bradley hit 7-of-18 and BYU hit 7-of-19 from 3-point range. The Cougars held a slight advantages in rebounding (24-22) and turnovers (11-15). If the home team could have shot better from the free-throw line (70.4 percent), it might have won more easily.

BYU simply hit more shots than Bradley did (22-of-55 versus 18-of-50 for the Braves). In a game where most other factors were even, that was the difference.

Noteworthy performances

Sophomore forward Taylor Brown was held out of the game by head coach Jim Les as a result of a violation of team rules. This likely is a result of an on-campus incident in September where Brown was arrested on a battery charge. In the big picture, this was a good move by Les as he continued to show that inappropriate conduct (no matter the severity, circumstances, etc.) needs to be handled with proper discipline. Brown surely would have helped tonight but most likely woudn't have changed the outcome. All indications at this point are that this will be the only game Brown will miss.

Freshman guard Dyricus Simms-Edwards surprised with a very good performance in his first game. His stat line doesn't look gaudy (two rebounds, two assists, two turnovers), but he really provided valuable minutes, especially on the defensive side of the ball. Expect him to continue to receive 10-15 minutes per game if he continues his steady play.

Sophomore center Anthony Thompson really needs to start turning the corner this season. After a disappointing rookie season, he started out 2009-10 with a two-point, three-rebound performance. Again, nothing eye-dropping here but his play showed some early progress that should hopefully lead to more regular minutes.

Senior guard Dodie Dunson was nearly invisible, getting shut out from the scoreboard in 25 minutes and grabbing just two rebounds. But the good news most Bradley fans know about Dunson is that he's a streaky player and could go for 18 on Sunday against Idaho State.

Coming up next

After an encouraging performance on the road, the Braves come home looking for their first win of the season on Sunday against Idaho State. The Bengals lost tonight to another common Bradley opponent, Iowa State, 88-68 in Ames, Iowa.

Late breaking news ...

Looks like Bradley may be short-handed tonight. Not a good omen ...

Dave Reynolds of the Journal Star: http://pjstarpeoria.com/bradleyhoops/pressrow/2009/11/13/taylor-browns-status/

Bradley opens season at BYU

Here's the preview for game one of the season. This will be a very tough test for Bradley as the opening game of the Mountain West-Missouri Valley Challenge.

Statistical Comparison (Stats from 2008-09)
6th

2009-10 Conf. Poll
1st
3/2

Starters Returning/Lost
4/1
21-15
Record (Overall)25-8
10-8 (4th)
Record (Conference)12-4 (t-1st)
67.1/66.3
Points/Game (Off./Def.)77.1/65.2
32.2
Rebounds/Game (Defense)36.2
12.6
Assists/Game (Defense)16.3
7.8
Steals/Game (Defense)7.3
3.5
Blocks/Game (Defense)3.6
14.5
Turnovers/Game (Defense)11.4
44.0.4/43.3
FG% (Offense/Defense)48.4/40.7
32.8/34.5
3PT% (Offense/Defense)38.1/30.1
6.0
3PT/Game (Made)
7.2
71.9
FT% (Defense)72.9
(Statistics in bold are points of emphasis for this game.)

On paper, this doesn't look too promising for Bradley. Not only is BYU a dynamic scoring team but the Cougars also held their opponents to a meager 40.7 percent from the floor and 30.1 percent from the 3-point line.

BYU notes (.pdf): Here

Bradley notes (.pdf): Here

Some other reasons for concern, from the BYU press release:

"The Cougars are coming off a season in which they finished 25-8 overall and 12-4 in the Mountain West Conference to claim their third-straight regular season league title and earn a third-straight trip to the NCAA Tournament."

This team was really good last season and they've got four of five starters back. Two were named to the preseason all-conference team, senior forward Jonathan Tavernari and junior guard Jimmer Fredette. The latter was also named as the Mountain West's Preseason Player of the Year.

"Since [Head Coach Dave] Rose took over as head coach of BYU basketball, the Cougars are 61-3 in the Marriott Center, including a 53-game winning streak from 2005 to 2008 — the longest in school history. The Cougars were 14-2 at home last season."

Beating BYU on a cruise ship in the Caribbean would be difficult, but winning in Provo, Utah is nearly impossible the past few seasons for any team.

After their final preseason game, coach Rose noted:

“We still have a lot of evaluation left to do. We’ll watch Bradley and our lineup up may be determined by their personnel but I think we have eight or nine different players who could start.”

This team does indeed have depth, but one aspect that bodes well for Bradley is the size of BYU's four returning starters. The Cougars go 6-2, 6-3, 6-6 and 6-11, with Tavernari as an undersized post player at 6-6. So, the prospective lineups might be:

Sam Maniscalco (6-0)/Eddren McCain (5-11) vs. Lamont Morgan Jr. (5-10)
Dodie Dunson (6-3) vs. Jimmer Fredette (6-2)
Andrew Warren (6-5)/Chris Roberts (6-4) vs. Jackson Emery (6-3)
Taylor Brown (6-6) vs. Jonathan Tavernari (6-6)
Will Egolf (6-9) vs. Chris Miles (6-11)

So, if that's really how it shakes out, Bradley won't be dominated with a huge size disadvantage as they often are against good opponents. Of course, what really matters is what both sides can do on the floor. Height only makes a small difference if the talent level is drastically different.

Tips to victory

If Bradley's going to take down such a good opponent, the Braves are going to need to really play good defense and take care of the basketball. These seem like two very simple facts, but generally it has provided a formula for success. If somehow Bradley can keep this game in the 60s, there's a chance at winning. But, if Tavernari starts raining 3-pointers (he's second on the all-time BYU list) and the Braves get into a running game, this could get ugly.

Final score: BYU 82 Bradley 68

November 12, 2009

Initial Thoughts, Changes for the Season

Opening night is tomorrow! That should be a pretty good reason to get the blog going in full swing.

First, let me begin by announcing some changes to the blog this season. For anybody who read the game-by-game reactions from 2008-09, these will return. The format will be retained, focusing on a combination of game flow description and reaction to individual player performance.

Some new additions:

  • Game previews - At least an hour before game time (preferably the night before), I will be providing some information on the upcoming Bradley game. As many of you know, the game notes provided by schools are filled with data but are often a little cumbersome to read. I'd like to provide a "cheat sheet" for anyone looking to quickly get useful information. I will provide a link to each press release and pull out any important facts. Hopefully these snippets can help people looking for a brief synopsis, but also allow anyone to take a deeper look at the great work that is done by the sports information directors. Lastly, I will provide some keys to victory and make a prediction.

Date/time to be published: Varies; At least one hour before tip-off and most likely the night before the next game

  • Missouri Valley Conference rankings - This was a project I thought about mid-season last year and now I'd like to implement it. Many websites/blogs post polls on how they rate the teams in a conference, nationally, etc. In reality, I have yet to find anything that is more than a popularity contest, especially on the national level. Teams get honored/ignored because of who gets seen on ESPN and not necessarily because of their on-the-court performance. For the first few weeks, I will rely on my unbiased look at the conference to rate the teams. Once a solid set of statistics have been established, look for an incorporation of a rating system to help support (or possibly refute) my rankings.

Date/time to be published: Weekly on Monday

  • "In Case You Missed It" - Even though it isn't as long as the Major League Baseball season, college hoops is truly a grind. Teams play 1-3 games per week for 4 months (the good ones play for five!). If your favorite team is Bradley, that can be enough of a homework assignment just to keep up with them. What about other teams in the MVC? Are there any big national games? What about scandals, suspensions, and other major news stories?

  • Certainly, I can't keep up with everything either, but hopefully I can provide a rundown of stories you need to read. In many cases, this might just be a short blurb and a link, but I'm hoping this can be a useful way of sifting through all of the information we get inundated with through different news outlets, blogs and websites. If I notice something interesting, I'll try to put it in here.

Date/time to be published: Daily, on non-game days (in the evening) as my schedule permits

Hopefully if you're reading this post, you're excited as I am for the start of college basketball and the improvements to this blog. As always, please let me know if you have any suggestions/comments about new ideas for this season.

Coming up next: Bradley at BYU preview